Primeira Liga Primeira Liga January 24, 2026
Arouca

Arouca

12
FT
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

We predicted

Sporting CP 4+ 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, January 24 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Sporting CP 4+
|
Actual 1–2

We predicted the correct result direction (away), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Most Likely Scores
Sporting CP 4+
14.9%
0-2
13.6%
7.35
0-1
13.2%
7.58
1-2
9.4%
10.62
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.3
NO 56% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arouca 11% · 8.74
Draw 19% · 5.17
Sporting CP 69% · 1.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.93 Under 48% · 2.07
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32 Under 24% · 4.16
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.4 Under 71% · 1.42

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Arouca
Stat
Sporting CP
0.69
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.06

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
4 W
Arouca
Draw
Sporting CP
19 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
26 22 3 1 +42 69
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP A
25 19 5 1 +50 62
3
Benfica Benfica
26 18 8 0 +38 62
4
SC Braga SC Braga
25 13 7 5 +27 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
26 11 9 6 +12 42
6
Famalicao Famalicao
26 12 6 8 +10 42
7
Estoril Estoril
26 10 7 9 +5 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
26 10 5 11 -7 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
26 9 5 12 -10 32
10
Alverca Alverca
26 7 8 11 -15 29
11
Rio Ave Rio Ave
26 6 9 11 -19 27
12
Arouca Arouca H
26 7 5 14 -22 26
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
26 6 7 13 -8 25
14
Estrela Estrela
26 5 10 11 -16 25
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
25 5 9 11 -18 24
16
Nacional Nacional
26 5 7 14 -9 22
17
Tondela Tondela
25 4 7 14 -20 19
18
AVS AVS
26 1 7 18 -40 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record