Primeira Liga
May 3, 2026
Arouca
16:00
VS
Santa Clara
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Arouca
Rank#11
Played25
Points26
PPG1.04
Goal Diff-21
L
L
W
L
W
Santa Clara
16#Rank
25Played
22Points
0.88PPG
-9Goal Diff
W
D
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.65
1-0
12.4%
8.05
0-1
10.2%
9.78
0-0
9.7%
10.3
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.13
NO
53% · 1.89
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arouca
43% · 2.33
Draw
35% · 2.88
Santa Clara
22% · 4.48
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.43
Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48
Under 32% · 3.09
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.83
Under 79% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Arouca
L
L
W
L
W
Santa Clara
W
D
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Arouca
Stat
Santa Clara
1.28
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.05
#11
League Pos.
#16
26 pts
Points
22 pts
1.04
Points / Game
0.88
-21
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Arouca
Draw
Santa Clara
7
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
H
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
A
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.