Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 7, 2026
Arouca

Arouca

32
FT
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

We predicted

0-1 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 3–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
Arouca
Rank#14
Played20
Points20
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-21
W L W L D
Guimaraes
9#Rank
20Played
28Points
1.4PPG
-6Goal Diff
W L L W D
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.3%
7.51
1-1
12.6%
7.93
0-2
9.5%
10.57
0-0
9.4%
10.67
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.15
NO 54% · 1.87
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arouca 25% · 3.98
Draw 27% · 3.71
Guimaraes 48% · 2.09
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.37 Under 58% · 1.73
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.46 Under 32% · 3.17
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.67 Under 79% · 1.27

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arouca Arouca
W L W L D
Guimaraes Guimaraes
W L L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Arouca
Stat
Guimaraes
0.95
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.42
#14
League Pos.
#9
20 pts
Points
28 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.4
-21
Goal Diff.
-6

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
2 D
2 W
Arouca
Draw
Guimaraes
16 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
27 21 5 1 +55 68
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
28 12 9 7 +14 45
6
Famalicao Famalicao
27 13 6 8 +11 45
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes A
28 10 5 13 -8 35
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca H
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
28 7 7 14 -9 28
14
Estrela Estrela
27 6 10 11 -12 28
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
16
Nacional Nacional
27 5 7 15 -10 22
17
Tondela Tondela
27 4 8 15 -25 20
18
AVS AVS
28 1 8 19 -43 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record