Tercera División RFEF - Group 16
March 21, 2026
Arnedo
18:30
VS
San Marcial
Predicted score
Arnedo 4+
43% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Arnedo
Rank#3
Played26
Points50
PPG1.92
Goal Diff28
W
W
W
W
D
San Marcial
11#Rank
26Played
30Points
1.15PPG
-11Goal Diff
W
D
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Arnedo 4+
15.4%
2-0
10.4%
9.65
2-1
10.0%
10.01
1-0
9.9%
10.12
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.84
NO
46% · 2.18
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Arnedo
56% · 1.79
Draw
30% · 3.32
San Marcial
14% · 7.2
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.7
Under 41% · 2.43
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24
Under 19% · 5.23
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.76
Under 64% · 1.57
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Arnedo
W
W
W
W
D
San Marcial
W
D
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Arnedo
Stat
San Marcial
2.1
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.96
#3
League Pos.
#11
50 pts
Points
30 pts
1.92
Points / Game
1.15
+28
Goal Diff.
-11
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
0 W
Arnedo
Draw
San Marcial
0
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
UD Logroñés II
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 | +49 | 64 |
| 2 |
Varea
|
26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | +24 | 61 |
| 3 |
Arnedo
H
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +28 | 50 |
| 4 |
Anguiano
|
26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | +16 | 49 |
| 5 |
Oyonesa
|
26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | +8 | 46 |
| 6 |
Calahorra
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +42 | 45 |
| 7 |
Agoncillo
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +10 | 39 |
| 8 |
Haro Deportivo
|
26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | +2 | 38 |
| 9 |
Yagüe
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 36 |
| 10 |
Vianés
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 |
San Marcial
A
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -11 | 30 |
| 12 |
Berceo
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 |
Comillas
|
26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | -21 | 28 |
| 14 |
La Calzada
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 |
Pradejón
|
26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -12 | 27 |
| 16 |
Villegas
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -30 | 22 |
| 17 |
Autol
|
26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | -43 | 13 |
| 18 |
Peña Balsamaiso
|
26 | 0 | 10 | 16 | -40 | 10 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.