Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 March 28, 2026
Arenas Getxo

Arenas Getxo

32
FT
Real Avilés

Real Avilés

We predicted

1-1 34% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Arenas Getxo
Rank#13
Played28
Points35
PPG1.25
Goal Diff-7
D D W L L
Real Avilés
14#Rank
29Played
34Points
1.17PPG
-8Goal Diff
D D L D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
8.84
2-1
9.5%
10.49
1-0
9.4%
10.64
Arenas Getxo 4+
8.7%
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.76
NO 43% · 2.32
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Arenas Getxo 42% · 2.35
Draw 28% · 3.6
Real Avilés 30% · 3.36
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.82 Under 45% · 2.22
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28 Under 22% · 4.61
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.06 Under 67% · 1.48

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
D D W L L
Real Avilés Real Avilés
D D L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Arenas Getxo
Stat
Real Avilés
1.68
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.2
#13
League Pos.
#14
35 pts
Points
34 pts
1.25
Points / Game
1.17
-7
Goal Diff.
-8

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
0 W
Arenas Getxo
Draw
Real Avilés
5 total goals
1 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
31 19 8 4 +33 65
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
31 15 9 7 +5 54
3
Ponferradina Ponferradina
31 13 8 10 +10 47
4
Barakaldo Barakaldo
31 12 11 8 +8 47
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra
30 11 13 6 +13 46
6
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
31 13 7 11 +5 46
7
Zamora Zamora
31 12 10 9 +5 46
8
Lugo Lugo
31 11 12 8 +0 45
9
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
31 12 8 11 +2 44
10
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
31 12 8 11 -2 44
11
Mérida AD Mérida AD
31 12 8 11 -3 44
12
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo H
30 12 5 13 -5 41
14
Real Avilés Real Avilés A
31 10 7 14 -8 37
15
CF Talavera CF Talavera
31 9 8 14 -8 35
16
Guadalajara Guadalajara
31 9 8 14 -11 35
17
Ourense CF Ourense CF
31 8 10 13 -3 34
18
Cacereño Cacereño
31 6 13 12 -12 31
19
Osasuna II Osasuna II
31 7 9 15 -14 30
20
Arenteiro Arenteiro
31 6 8 17 -14 26

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record