Premier League Premier League March 14, 2026
Arba Minch Kenema

Arba Minch Kenema

02
FT
Ethiopian Medhin

Ethiopian Medhin

We predicted

0-0 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Arba Minch Kenema
Rank#20
Played23
Points19
PPG0.83
Goal Diff-11
W L W D D
Ethiopian Medhin
16#Rank
23Played
25Points
1.09PPG
-1Goal Diff
D D W L D
Most Likely Scores
0-0
18.2%
5.5
0-1
16.2%
6.18
1-0
14.8%
6.76
1-1
13.2%
7.58
Both Teams To Score
YES 33% · 3.04
NO 67% · 1.49
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Arba Minch Kenema 23% · 4.44
Draw 38% · 2.61
Ethiopian Medhin 39% · 2.56
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.1 Under 76% · 1.32
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.97 Under 49% · 2.03
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
91%
Over 9% · 10.65 Under 91% · 1.1

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
W L W D D
Ethiopian Medhin Ethiopian Medhin
D D W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Arba Minch Kenema
Stat
Ethiopian Medhin
0.81
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#20
League Pos.
#16
19 pts
Points
25 pts
0.83
Points / Game
1.09
-11
Goal Diff.
-1

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna
24 12 9 3 +16 45
2
Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema
24 11 7 6 +10 40
3
Negelle Arsi Negelle Arsi
23 10 8 5 +8 38
4
Mekelakeya Mekelakeya
24 9 9 6 +10 36
5
Fasil Ketema Fasil Ketema
24 8 11 5 +2 35
6
Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl
23 8 10 5 +4 34
7
Adama Kenema Adama Kenema
24 7 12 5 -1 33
8
Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna
23 9 5 9 -1 32
9
Bahardar Bahardar
24 6 13 5 +0 31
10
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Ethiopia Nigd Bank
24 7 9 8 +0 30
11
Sheger Ketema Sheger Ketema
24 6 12 6 +0 30
12
Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena
24 7 8 9 -5 29
13
Ethiopian Medhin Ethiopian Medhin A
24 6 10 8 +1 28
14
Welwalo Adigrat Uni Welwalo Adigrat Uni
24 6 10 8 -6 28
15
Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema
24 6 10 8 -8 28
16
Suhul Shire Suhul Shire
24 6 9 9 -3 27
17
Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha
23 5 11 7 +0 26
18
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
23 6 7 10 -4 25
19
Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema
23 4 10 9 -10 22
20
Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema H
24 3 10 11 -13 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record