Premyer Liqa Premyer Liqa March 13, 2026
Araz

Araz

21
FT
Karvan

Karvan

We predicted

Araz 4+ 37% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 13 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Araz 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Araz
Rank#5
Played23
Points33
PPG1.43
Goal Diff-11
L L W W L
Karvan
12#Rank
23Played
8Points
0.35PPG
-31Goal Diff
D D L L L
Most Likely Scores
Araz 4+
11.2%
1-1
10.7%
9.36
2-1
9.9%
10.13
1-0
9.6%
10.38
Both Teams To Score
YES 56% · 1.77
NO 44% · 2.3
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Araz 51% · 1.97
Draw 32% · 3.16
Karvan 18% · 5.68
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.77 Under 43% · 2.31
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.85
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.93 Under 66% · 1.52

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Araz Araz
L L W W L
Karvan Karvan
D D L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Araz
Stat
Karvan
1.85
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.11
#5
League Pos.
#12
33 pts
Points
8 pts
1.43
Points / Game
0.35
-11
Goal Diff.
-31

Head to Head

Full H2H record
5 W
0 D
0 W
Araz
Draw
Karvan
16 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sabah FA Sabah FA
23 17 5 1 +36 56
2
Qarabag Qarabag
22 15 4 3 +29 49
3
Turan Turan
23 13 5 5 +14 44
4
Zira Zira
23 10 9 4 +7 39
5
Araz Araz H
24 9 7 8 -11 34
6
Sumqayıt Sumqayıt
23 9 5 9 +1 32
7
Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku
22 7 10 5 +9 31
8
Keshla FC Keshla FC
23 6 9 8 -3 27
9
Mil-Muğan Mil-Muğan
23 4 10 9 -7 22
10
Kapaz Kapaz
23 5 2 16 -28 17
11
Qabala Qabala
23 4 4 15 -16 16
12
Karvan Karvan A
24 1 6 17 -31 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record