Primeira Liga
February 21, 2026
Alverca
1–1
FT
Santa Clara
We predicted
1-1
26% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 21 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
26%
Team Context
Alverca
Rank#10
Played22
Points25
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-15
D
L
D
L
W
Santa Clara
17#Rank
22Played
17Points
0.77PPG
-11Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.9%
7.74
1-0
12.0%
8.35
0-1
9.7%
10.28
0-0
9.0%
11.09
Both Teams To Score
YES
48% · 2.06
NO
52% · 1.94
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Alverca
42% · 2.36
Draw
27% · 3.65
Santa Clara
30% · 3.3
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.32
Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44
Under 31% · 3.25
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.5
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alverca
D
L
D
L
W
Santa Clara
L
L
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Alverca
Stat
Santa Clara
1.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#10
League Pos.
#17
25 pts
Points
17 pts
1.14
Points / Game
0.77
-15
Goal Diff.
-11
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
1 W
Alverca
Draw
Santa Clara
5
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
H
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
A
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.