Segunda División
March 29, 2026
Almeria
5–1
FT
Real Sociedad II
We predicted
Almeria 4+
58% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 29 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Almeria 4+
|
Actual
5–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Almeria 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
58%
Team Context
Almeria
Rank#2
Played31
Points55
PPG1.77
Goal Diff16
W
L
W
D
W
Real Sociedad II
13#Rank
31Played
40Points
1.29PPG
1Goal Diff
L
W
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Almeria 4+
31.9%
2-0
9.9%
10.07
3-0
9.8%
10.22
2-1
8.5%
11.71
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.83
NO
45% · 2.2
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Almeria
65% · 1.53
Draw
26% · 3.88
Real Sociedad II
9% · 11.29
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.38
Under 27% · 3.64
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
89%
Over 89% · 1.12
Under 11% · 9.13
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.94
Under 49% · 2.06
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Almeria
W
L
W
D
W
Real Sociedad II
L
W
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Almeria
Stat
Real Sociedad II
2.96
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#2
League Pos.
#13
55 pts
Points
40 pts
1.77
Points / Game
1.29
+16
Goal Diff.
+1
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
0 W
Almeria
Draw
Real Sociedad II
16
total goals
4
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Santander
|
34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | +14 | 62 |
| 2 |
Almeria
H
|
34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +19 | 61 |
| 3 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | +15 | 60 |
| 4 |
Las Palmas
|
34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | +17 | 57 |
| 5 |
Castellón
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 57 |
| 6 |
Malaga
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +15 | 57 |
| 7 |
Burgos
|
34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | +12 | 57 |
| 8 |
Eibar
|
34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | +9 | 54 |
| 9 |
Sporting Gijon
|
34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | +2 | 49 |
| 10 |
AD Ceuta FC
|
34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | -13 | 48 |
| 11 |
FC Andorra
|
34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | +3 | 46 |
| 12 |
Cordoba
|
34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 45 |
| 13 |
Albacete
|
34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
| 14 |
Granada CF
|
34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | +2 | 42 |
| 15 |
Real Sociedad II
A
|
34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | -5 | 40 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | +1 | 39 |
| 17 |
Valladolid
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 39 |
| 18 |
Cadiz
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -14 | 38 |
| 19 |
Zaragoza
|
34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -15 | 34 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -18 | 32 |
| 21 |
Mirandes
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -19 | 32 |
| 22 |
Cultural Leonesa
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -24 | 32 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.