Primera Division Primera Division April 5, 2026
Alianza

Alianza

32
FT
Hércules

Hércules

We predicted

Alianza 4+ 43% confidence
View full match details Sunday, April 5 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Alianza 4+
|
Actual 3–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Alianza
Rank#3
Played22
Points44
PPG2.0
Goal Diff17
D L W L W
Hércules
11#Rank
22Played
17Points
0.77PPG
-30Goal Diff
D L L L D
Most Likely Scores
Alianza 4+
16.2%
2-0
10.3%
9.68
2-1
10.0%
10.03
1-0
9.7%
10.36
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.83
NO 45% · 2.2
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alianza 56% · 1.77
Draw 30% · 3.34
Hércules 14% · 7.34
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.49
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.23 Under 18% · 5.41
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.68 Under 63% · 1.59

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Alianza Alianza
D L W L W
Hércules Hércules
D L L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Alianza
Stat
Hércules
2.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.97
#3
League Pos.
#11
44 pts
Points
17 pts
2.0
Points / Game
0.77
+17
Goal Diff.
-30

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Firpo Firpo
22 15 5 2 +23 50
2
FAS FAS
22 13 5 4 +24 44
3
Alianza Alianza H
22 13 5 4 +17 44
4
Isidro Metapán Isidro Metapán
22 10 6 6 +5 36
5
Águila Águila
22 9 6 7 +2 33
6
Municipal Limeño Municipal Limeño
22 8 4 10 -2 28
7
Cacahuatique Cacahuatique
22 7 6 9 -1 27
8
Platense Platense
22 5 11 6 +3 26
9
Fuerte San Francisco Fuerte San Francisco
22 4 8 10 -18 20
10
Zacatecoluca Zacatecoluca
22 4 6 12 -10 18
11
Hércules Hércules A
22 5 2 15 -30 17
12
Inter Inter
22 2 10 10 -13 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record