Segunda División Segunda División April 4, 2026
Alianza Universidad

Alianza Universidad

12
FT
Comerciantes

Comerciantes

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Alianza Universidad
Rank#
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Comerciantes
1#Rank
14Played
28Points
2.0PPG
13Goal Diff
L D W D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.3%
6.12
2-0
15.8%
6.34
Alianza Universidad 4+
12.7%
3-0
10.2%
9.84
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.8
NO 64% · 1.56
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Alianza Universidad 46% · 2.16
Draw 30% · 3.34
Comerciantes 24% · 4.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.23 Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42 Under 29% · 3.4
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.27 Under 77% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad
No form data available
Comerciantes Comerciantes
L D W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Alianza Universidad
Stat
Comerciantes
1.93
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.54
League Pos.
#1
– pts
Points
28 pts
Points / Game
2.0
+
Goal Diff.
+13

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
1 W
Alianza Universidad
Draw
Comerciantes
3 total goals
1 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record