Primera División Primera División March 15, 2026
Alianza Atletico

Alianza Atletico

30
FT
UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

We predicted

Alianza Atletico 4+ 50% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Alianza Atletico 4+
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 50%
Team Context
Alianza Atletico
Rank#10
Played17
Points23
PPG1.35
Goal Diff3
W W D L L
UCV Moquegua
#Rank
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Most Likely Scores
Alianza Atletico 4+
36.3%
3-0
17.3%
5.79
2-0
16.4%
6.11
1-0
10.3%
9.68
Both Teams To Score
YES 25% · 4.04
NO 75% · 1.33
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Alianza Atletico 69% · 1.46
Draw 18% · 5.46
UCV Moquegua 13% · 7.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52 Under 34% · 2.93
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.17 Under 15% · 6.86
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.32 Under 57% · 1.76

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
W W D L L
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua
No form data available

Key Stats Comparison

Alianza Atletico
Stat
UCV Moquegua
3.17
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.3
#10
League Pos.
23 pts
Points
– pts
1.35
Points / Game
+3
Goal Diff.
+

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
0 W
Alianza Atletico
Draw
UCV Moquegua
3 total goals
1 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record