Liga III - Serie 5
March 20, 2026
Alexandria
13:00
VS
Cetatea
Predicted score
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Friday, March 20 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Alexandria
Rank#5
Played18
Points34
PPG1.89
Goal Diff16
W
W
D
W
L
Cetatea
2#Rank
18Played
39Points
2.17PPG
18Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.9%
8.42
1-0
8.8%
11.43
2-1
8.6%
11.57
0-1
8.2%
12.24
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.76
NO
43% · 2.32
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alexandria
42% · 2.4
Draw
33% · 3.02
Cetatea
25% · 3.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88
Under 47% · 2.14
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.36
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.23
Under 69% · 1.45
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alexandria
W
W
D
W
L
Cetatea
W
L
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Alexandria
Stat
Cetatea
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.36
#5
League Pos.
#2
34 pts
Points
39 pts
1.89
Points / Game
2.17
+16
Goal Diff.
+18
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
Alexandria
Draw
Cetatea
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
CS U Craiova II
|
18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | +19 | 43 |
| 2 |
Cetatea
A
|
18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | +18 | 39 |
| 3 |
Academica Balș
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 37 |
| 4 |
LPS HD Clinceni
|
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | +25 | 36 |
| 5 |
Alexandria
H
|
18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +16 | 34 |
| 6 |
Oltul Curtişoara
|
19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 |
Progresul Spartac
|
18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -4 | 23 |
| 8 |
Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu
|
18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -16 | 17 |
| 9 |
Filiaşi
|
18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | -22 | 10 |
| 10 |
Axi Adunații-Copăceni
|
18 | 3 | 1 | 14 | -20 | 10 |
| 11 |
CSL Nanov
|
19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | -28 | 8 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.