Liga de Expansión MX
March 13, 2026
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
4–3
LIVE
Tapatío
Predicted score
1-1
34% confidence
View full match details
Friday, March 13 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Rank#13
Played14
Points13
PPG0.93
Goal Diff-9
D
L
D
W
D
Tapatío
11#Rank
14Played
15Points
1.07PPG
2Goal Diff
W
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
8.54
1-0
9.8%
10.21
2-1
9.4%
10.7
2-0
7.8%
12.79
Both Teams To Score
YES
56% · 1.8
NO
44% · 2.25
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
32% · 3.13
Draw
33% · 3.04
Tapatío
35% · 2.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.89
Under 47% · 2.12
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.3
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.27
Under 69% · 1.44
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
D
L
D
W
D
Tapatío
W
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Stat
Tapatío
1.6
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.2
#13
League Pos.
#11
13 pts
Points
15 pts
0.93
Points / Game
1.07
-9
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Draw
Tapatío
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlante FC
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 30 |
| 2 |
Cancún
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 30 |
| 3 |
CDS Tampico Madero
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | +9 | 30 |
| 4 |
Irapuato
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Leones Negros UDG
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |
Monarcas
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |
Tepatitlán
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 |
Venados FC
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 |
CA La Paz
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 |
Tapatío
A
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 |
Tlaxcala
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
H
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Correcaminos Uat
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -19 | 10 |
| 15 |
Dorados
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.