Liga de Expansión MX
March 28, 2026
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1–1
FT
Leones Negros UDG
We predicted
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 28 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Rank#13
Played14
Points13
PPG0.93
Goal Diff-9
D
L
D
W
D
Leones Negros UDG
6#Rank
14Played
21Points
1.5PPG
2Goal Diff
W
W
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.8%
8.45
1-0
10.1%
9.87
2-1
9.4%
10.68
2-0
8.0%
12.47
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.83
NO
45% · 2.21
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
32% · 3.11
Draw
33% · 3.03
Leones Negros UDG
35% · 2.87
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.93
Under 48% · 2.07
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.16
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.38
Under 70% · 1.42
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
D
L
D
W
D
Leones Negros UDG
W
W
W
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Stat
Leones Negros UDG
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.17
#13
League Pos.
#6
13 pts
Points
21 pts
0.93
Points / Game
1.5
-9
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Draw
Leones Negros UDG
15
total goals
5
meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atlante FC
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +25 | 30 |
| 2 |
Cancún
|
14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 30 |
| 3 |
CDS Tampico Madero
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | +9 | 30 |
| 4 |
Irapuato
|
14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +4 | 23 |
| 5 |
Mineros de Zacatecas
|
14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 21 |
| 6 |
Leones Negros UDG
A
|
14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 21 |
| 7 |
Monarcas
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |
Tepatitlán
|
14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +5 | 18 |
| 9 |
Venados FC
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 |
CA La Paz
|
14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 |
Tapatío
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +2 | 15 |
| 12 |
Tlaxcala
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 14 |
| 13 |
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
H
|
14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 |
Correcaminos Uat
|
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -19 | 10 |
| 15 |
Dorados
|
14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.