Primera División RFEF - Group 2
April 5, 2026
Alcorcon
1–0
LIVE
Hércules
Predicted score
1-0
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Alcorcon
Rank#10
Played30
Points41
PPG1.37
Goal Diff2
D
W
D
L
W
Hércules
7#Rank
30Played
43Points
1.43PPG
3Goal Diff
W
L
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.8%
6.78
1-1
12.9%
7.76
0-0
11.3%
8.89
0-1
9.8%
10.17
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.35
NO
57% · 1.74
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Alcorcon
41% · 2.41
Draw
30% · 3.3
Hércules
28% · 3.54
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.68
Under 63% · 1.6
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56
Under 36% · 2.79
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.64
Under 82% · 1.22
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alcorcon
D
W
D
L
W
Hércules
W
L
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Alcorcon
Stat
Hércules
1.31
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.87
#10
League Pos.
#7
41 pts
Points
43 pts
1.37
Points / Game
1.43
+2
Goal Diff.
+3
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
1 W
Alcorcon
Draw
Hércules
7
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Eldense
|
31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | +17 | 56 |
| 2 |
Sabadell
|
30 | 14 | 13 | 3 | +25 | 55 |
| 3 |
Atlético Madrid II
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +18 | 54 |
| 4 |
Villarreal II
|
31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | +14 | 48 |
| 5 |
Europa Fc
|
31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 47 |
| 6 |
Teruel
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | +0 | 46 |
| 7 |
FC Cartagena
|
31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | -1 | 46 |
| 8 |
Algeciras
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | +3 | 44 |
| 9 |
Hércules
A
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +3 | 43 |
| 10 |
Alcorcon
H
|
30 | 9 | 14 | 7 | +2 | 41 |
| 11 |
Antequera
|
31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 41 |
| 12 |
Ibiza
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | +2 | 39 |
| 13 |
Real Murcia
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 39 |
| 14 |
Juventud Torremolinos
|
31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 |
Gimnastic
|
31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 37 |
| 16 |
Tarazona
|
31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 |
Real Betis II
|
30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -16 | 29 |
| 18 |
Marbella
|
31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -14 | 28 |
| 19 |
Sanluqueño
|
31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -18 | 28 |
| 20 |
Sevilla Atletico
|
31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -18 | 23 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.