Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 March 14, 2026
Alcobendas Sport

Alcobendas Sport

10
FT
Móstoles

Móstoles

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Alcobendas Sport
Rank#11
Played25
Points32
PPG1.28
Goal Diff-1
L L D W D
Móstoles
3#Rank
25Played
48Points
1.92PPG
14Goal Diff
W L D D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.9%
8.44
0-1
8.5%
11.76
1-2
8.5%
11.79
1-0
8.3%
12.08
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.75
NO 43% · 2.34
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alcobendas Sport 26% · 3.85
Draw 33% · 3.02
Móstoles 41% · 2.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.87 Under 46% · 2.15
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29 Under 23% · 4.4
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.2 Under 69% · 1.45

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Alcobendas Sport Alcobendas Sport
L L D W D
Móstoles Móstoles
W L D D D

Key Stats Comparison

Alcobendas Sport
Stat
Móstoles
1.39
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.43
#11
League Pos.
#3
32 pts
Points
48 pts
1.28
Points / Game
1.92
-1
Goal Diff.
+14

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Alcobendas Sport
Draw
Móstoles
16 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
A Madrid III A Madrid III
26 15 7 4 +30 52
2
Las Rozas Las Rozas
26 14 8 4 +19 50
3
Móstoles Móstoles A
26 14 6 6 +13 48
4
Leganés II Leganés II
26 12 8 6 +26 44
5
Torrejón Torrejón
26 12 6 8 +6 42
6
Trival Valderas Trival Valderas
26 12 4 10 +5 40
7
SS Reyes II SS Reyes II
26 9 10 7 +6 37
8
Pozuelo Alarcón Pozuelo Alarcón
26 9 10 7 +4 37
9
Galapagar Galapagar
26 8 12 6 -6 36
10
Alcobendas Sport Alcobendas Sport H
26 10 5 11 +0 35
11
Unión Adarve Unión Adarve
26 9 7 10 -5 34
12
Villaverde-Boetticher Villaverde-Boetticher
26 7 11 8 -7 32
13
Alcorcón II Alcorcón II
26 7 8 11 -5 29
14
Villanueva Pardillo Villanueva Pardillo
26 8 4 14 -12 28
15
Carabanchel Carabanchel
26 6 8 12 -6 26
16
Tres Cantos Tres Cantos
26 7 3 16 -24 24
17
Racing Madrid Racing Madrid
26 5 7 14 -19 22
18
AD Parla AD Parla
26 6 4 16 -25 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record