La Liga
May 24, 2026
Alaves
16:00
VS
Rayo Vallecano
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 24 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Alaves
Rank#16
Played27
Points27
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-12
L
L
D
D
L
Rayo Vallecano
13#Rank
27Played
31Points
1.15PPG
-6Goal Diff
D
W
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.9%
7.75
1-1
12.3%
8.16
2-0
9.8%
10.26
2-1
9.3%
10.79
Both Teams To Score
YES
48% · 2.09
NO
52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Alaves
34% · 2.93
Draw
34% · 2.98
Rayo Vallecano
32% · 3.1
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24
Under 55% · 1.8
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.42
Under 30% · 3.38
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.29
Under 77% · 1.3
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alaves
L
L
D
D
L
Rayo Vallecano
D
W
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Alaves
Stat
Rayo Vallecano
1.51
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.95
#16
League Pos.
#13
27 pts
Points
31 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.15
-12
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Alaves
Draw
Rayo Vallecano
7
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
29 | 24 | 1 | 4 | +50 | 73 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | +37 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | +21 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | +7 | 44 |
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 41 |
| 7 |
Real Sociedad
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 |
Athletic Club
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 |
Espanyol
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 |
Valencia
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
A
|
29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 |
Alaves
H
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 28 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.