La Liga
February 23, 2026
Alaves
2–2
FT
Girona
We predicted
1-1
25% confidence
View full match details
Monday, February 23 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
25%
Team Context
Alaves
Rank#15
Played24
Points26
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-9
D
L
W
W
L
Girona
13#Rank
24Played
29Points
1.21PPG
-14Goal Diff
W
D
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
8.54
0-1
9.2%
10.87
1-2
9.1%
10.96
1-0
7.5%
13.28
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.76
NO
43% · 2.32
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alaves
31% · 3.2
Draw
25% · 4.02
Girona
44% · 2.28
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.86
Under 46% · 2.16
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29
Under 23% · 4.42
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.19
Under 69% · 1.46
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alaves
D
L
W
W
L
Girona
W
D
L
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Alaves
Stat
Girona
1.27
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.56
#15
League Pos.
#13
26 pts
Points
29 pts
1.08
Points / Game
1.21
-9
Goal Diff.
-14
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Alaves
Draw
Girona
11
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
30 | 25 | 1 | 4 | +51 | 76 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +36 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | +20 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |
Real Sociedad
|
30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +1 | 41 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | -4 | 41 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Espanyol
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 38 |
| 11 |
Athletic Club
|
30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 35 |
| 14 |
Girona
A
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 15 |
Alaves
H
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 32 |
| 16 |
Mallorca
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 31 |
| 17 |
Sevilla
|
30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 31 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -16 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -27 | 24 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.