La Liga
May 3, 2026
Alaves
16:00
VS
Athletic Club
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Alaves
Rank#16
Played27
Points27
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-12
L
L
D
D
L
Athletic Club
10#Rank
27Played
35Points
1.3PPG
-7Goal Diff
L
D
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.4%
8.08
1-0
10.2%
9.81
2-1
8.8%
11.36
0-1
8.7%
11.48
Both Teams To Score
YES
53% · 1.87
NO
47% · 2.14
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alaves
29% · 3.44
Draw
34% · 2.97
Athletic Club
37% · 2.68
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.04
Under 51% · 1.96
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35
Under 26% · 3.84
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.69
Under 73% · 1.37
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alaves
L
L
D
D
L
Athletic Club
L
D
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Alaves
Stat
Athletic Club
1.42
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.22
#16
League Pos.
#10
27 pts
Points
35 pts
1.0
Points / Game
1.3
-12
Goal Diff.
-7
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Alaves
Draw
Athletic Club
7
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
29 | 24 | 1 | 4 | +50 | 73 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | +37 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | +21 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | +7 | 44 |
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 41 |
| 7 |
Real Sociedad
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 |
Athletic Club
A
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 |
Espanyol
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 |
Valencia
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 |
Alaves
H
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 28 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.