3. Lig - Group 4
March 14, 2026
Alanya 1221 FK
5–1
FT
Nazilli Spor
We predicted
Alanya 1221 FK 4+
41% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Alanya 1221 FK 4+
|
Actual
5–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Alanya 1221 FK 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Alanya 1221 FK
Rank#9
Played24
Points27
PPG1.13
Goal Diff-10
L
W
D
W
L
Nazilli Spor
16#Rank
24Played
4Points
0.17PPG
-83Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Alanya 1221 FK 4+
15.9%
2-0
10.2%
9.82
2-1
10.0%
10.02
1-0
9.6%
10.44
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.82
NO
45% · 2.22
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alanya 1221 FK
58% · 1.72
Draw
32% · 3.12
Nazilli Spor
10% · 10.08
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67
Under 40% · 2.48
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23
Under 19% · 5.4
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.69
Under 63% · 1.59
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Alanya 1221 FK
L
W
D
W
L
Nazilli Spor
L
L
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Alanya 1221 FK
Stat
Nazilli Spor
2.12
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#9
League Pos.
#16
27 pts
Points
4 pts
1.13
Points / Game
0.17
-10
Goal Diff.
-83
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
0 W
Alanya 1221 FK
Draw
Nazilli Spor
11
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kütahyaspor
|
25 | 21 | 3 | 1 | +52 | 66 |
| 2 |
Eskişehirspor
|
25 | 19 | 3 | 3 | +49 | 60 |
| 3 |
Karsiyaka
|
25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | +30 | 56 |
| 4 |
Ayvalikgucu
|
25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | +25 | 52 |
| 5 |
Balıkesirspor
|
25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | +30 | 48 |
| 6 |
Uşak Spor
|
25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | +3 | 45 |
| 7 |
Denizli İYG
|
25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 8 |
Tire 2021 FK
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +15 | 35 |
| 9 |
Alanya 1221 FK
H
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -6 | 30 |
| 10 |
Söke 1970
|
25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 |
Anadolu Üniversitesi
|
25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 |
Altay
|
25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -14 | 20 |
| 13 |
Bornova 1877
|
25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
| 14 |
Afjet Afyonspor
|
25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | -31 | 15 |
| 15 |
İzmir Çoruhlu FK
|
25 | 4 | 3 | 18 | -35 | 15 |
| 16 |
Nazilli Spor
A
|
25 | 0 | 4 | 21 | -87 | 4 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.