Iraqi League
March 17, 2026
Al Shorta
3–3
FT
Al Talaba
We predicted
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Tuesday, March 17 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
3–3
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Al Shorta
Rank#2
Played21
Points47
PPG2.24
Goal Diff22
W
L
W
W
W
Al Talaba
4#Rank
22Played
43Points
1.95PPG
13Goal Diff
W
W
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.65
1-0
12.5%
7.99
0-1
10.2%
9.82
0-0
9.8%
10.26
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.13
NO
53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Al Shorta
43% · 2.32
Draw
35% · 2.88
Al Talaba
22% · 4.52
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.43
Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48
Under 32% · 3.08
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.85
Under 79% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Al Shorta
W
L
W
W
W
Al Talaba
W
W
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Al Shorta
Stat
Al Talaba
1.28
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.04
#2
League Pos.
#4
47 pts
Points
43 pts
2.24
Points / Game
1.95
+22
Goal Diff.
+13
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Al Shorta
Draw
Al Talaba
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | +21 | 55 |
| 2 |
Al Shorta
H
|
22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | +22 | 48 |
| 3 |
Erbil
|
22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | +15 | 47 |
| 4 |
Al Talaba
A
|
23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | +13 | 44 |
| 5 |
Al-Karma
|
23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | +16 | 42 |
| 6 |
Zakho
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | +14 | 40 |
| 7 |
Al Zawra'a
|
22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | +10 | 39 |
| 8 |
Al Karkh
|
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 9 |
Duhok
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 33 |
| 10 |
Diyala
|
22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 11 |
Gharraf
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -2 | 29 |
| 12 |
Naft
|
22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | +1 | 28 |
| 13 |
Newroz
|
22 | 9 | 1 | 12 | -3 | 28 |
| 14 |
Mosul
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 |
Al Minaa Basra
|
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -4 | 25 |
| 16 |
Al Kahrabaa
|
23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 |
Naft Maysan
|
23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 |
Baghdad
|
22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -17 | 19 |
| 19 |
Al Najaf
|
23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | -26 | 9 |
| 20 |
Al-Qasim
|
22 | 0 | 2 | 20 | -44 | 2 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.