Iraqi League Iraqi League April 4, 2026
Al Najaf

Al Najaf

13
FT
Al Shorta

Al Shorta

We predicted

Al Shorta 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Al Shorta 4+
|
Actual 1–3

We predicted the correct result direction (away), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Al Najaf
Rank#19
Played25
Points12
PPG0.48
Goal Diff-26
L W L D L
Al Shorta
2#Rank
25Played
53Points
2.12PPG
24Goal Diff
D W D D W
Most Likely Scores
Al Shorta 4+
11.7%
0-1
11.2%
8.91
1-1
10.6%
9.43
0-2
10.5%
9.51
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.93
NO 48% · 2.07
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Al Najaf 15% · 6.58
Draw 31% · 3.19
Al Shorta 53% · 1.87
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.87 Under 47% · 2.14
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.37
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.23 Under 69% · 1.45

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Al Najaf Al Najaf
L W L D L
Al Shorta Al Shorta
D W D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Al Najaf
Stat
Al Shorta
0.95
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.87
#19
League Pos.
#2
12 pts
Points
53 pts
0.48
Points / Game
2.12
-26
Goal Diff.
+24

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
2 D
3 W
Al Najaf
Draw
Al Shorta
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
25 18 5 2 +22 59
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta A
26 17 5 4 +26 56
3
Erbil Erbil
25 15 7 3 +17 52
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba
26 14 6 6 +13 48
5
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
26 12 11 3 +12 47
6
Zakho Zakho
26 13 7 6 +12 46
7
Al-Karma Al-Karma
26 12 8 6 +15 44
8
Al Karkh Al Karkh
26 12 8 6 +10 44
9
Newroz Newroz
26 12 2 12 +1 38
10
Duhok Duhok
26 10 7 9 +3 37
11
Diyala Diyala
26 8 9 9 +4 33
12
Naft Naft
25 8 9 8 +3 33
13
Mosul Mosul
26 9 6 11 -7 33
14
Gharraf Gharraf
25 9 5 11 -2 32
15
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
25 6 8 11 -5 26
16
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
25 5 7 13 -15 22
17
Baghdad Baghdad
26 6 4 16 -19 22
18
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
25 6 3 16 -11 21
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf H
26 3 3 20 -28 12
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
25 0 2 23 -51 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record