Iraqi League Iraqi League March 18, 2026
Al Minaa Basra

Al Minaa Basra

11
FT
Diyala

Diyala

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 18 2026

Correct prediction!

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–1

Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Al Minaa Basra
Rank#14
Played22
Points24
PPG1.09
Goal Diff-4
L W W L L
Diyala
11#Rank
21Played
28Points
1.33PPG
3Goal Diff
L L L D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.57
0-1
11.7%
8.54
1-0
11.0%
9.06
0-0
9.8%
10.21
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.12
NO 53% · 1.89
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Al Minaa Basra 39% · 2.6
Draw 35% · 2.86
Diyala 27% · 3.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44 Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.48 Under 33% · 3.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.87 Under 79% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
L W W L L
Diyala Diyala
L L L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Al Minaa Basra
Stat
Diyala
1.13
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.2
#14
League Pos.
#11
24 pts
Points
28 pts
1.09
Points / Game
1.33
-4
Goal Diff.
+3

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
23 17 4 2 +21 55
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta
22 15 3 4 +22 48
3
Erbil Erbil
22 14 5 3 +15 47
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba
23 13 5 5 +13 44
5
Al-Karma Al-Karma
23 12 6 5 +16 42
6
Zakho Zakho
22 11 7 4 +14 40
7
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
22 10 9 3 +10 39
8
Al Karkh Al Karkh
23 10 8 5 +9 38
9
Duhok Duhok
23 9 6 8 +3 33
10
Newroz Newroz
23 10 1 12 -2 31
11
Diyala Diyala A
22 7 8 7 +3 29
12
Gharraf Gharraf
23 8 5 10 -2 29
13
Naft Naft
22 7 7 8 +1 28
14
Mosul Mosul
22 7 5 10 -9 26
15
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra H
23 6 7 10 -4 25
16
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
23 6 3 14 -9 21
17
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
23 5 6 12 -13 21
18
Baghdad Baghdad
22 5 4 13 -17 19
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf
23 2 3 18 -26 9
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
23 0 2 21 -45 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record