Iraqi League Iraqi League March 26, 2026
Al-Karma

Al-Karma

11
FT
Mosul

Mosul

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 26 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Al-Karma
Rank#5
Played23
Points42
PPG1.83
Goal Diff16
D W L L W
Mosul
14#Rank
23Played
29Points
1.26PPG
-7Goal Diff
W W L D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.2%
7.6
1-1
12.3%
8.14
2-0
9.9%
10.11
2-1
9.2%
10.82
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.12
NO 53% · 1.89
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Al-Karma 48% · 2.07
Draw 34% · 2.97
Mosul 18% · 5.53
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27 Under 56% · 1.78
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43 Under 30% · 3.33
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.37 Under 77% · 1.3

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Al-Karma Al-Karma
D W L L W
Mosul Mosul
W W L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Al-Karma
Stat
Mosul
1.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.93
#5
League Pos.
#14
42 pts
Points
29 pts
1.83
Points / Game
1.26
+16
Goal Diff.
-7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Al-Karma
Draw
Mosul
6 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya
24 18 4 2 +22 58
2
Al Shorta Al Shorta
24 16 4 4 +24 52
3
Erbil Erbil
23 15 5 3 +17 50
4
Al Talaba Al Talaba
24 14 5 5 +14 47
5
Al Zawra'a Al Zawra'a
24 12 9 3 +12 45
6
Al-Karma Al-Karma H
24 12 7 5 +16 43
7
Zakho Zakho
24 11 7 6 +10 40
8
Al Karkh Al Karkh
24 10 8 6 +8 38
9
Duhok Duhok
24 9 7 8 +3 34
10
Newroz Newroz
24 11 1 12 -1 34
11
Naft Naft
24 8 8 8 +3 32
12
Mosul Mosul A
24 8 6 10 -7 30
13
Diyala Diyala
23 7 8 8 +1 29
14
Gharraf Gharraf
24 8 5 11 -3 29
15
Al Minaa Basra Al Minaa Basra
24 6 8 10 -4 26
16
Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa
24 6 3 15 -10 21
17
Naft Maysan Naft Maysan
23 5 6 12 -13 21
18
Baghdad Baghdad
24 5 4 15 -19 19
19
Al Najaf Al Najaf
23 2 3 18 -26 9
20
Al-Qasim Al-Qasim
24 0 2 22 -47 2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record