Iraqi League
March 12, 2026
Al-Karma
20:15
VS
Gharraf
Predicted score
1-0
36% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, March 12 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Al-Karma
Rank#5
Played21
Points38
PPG1.81
Goal Diff13
L
L
W
D
D
Gharraf
10#Rank
21Played
29Points
1.38PPG
2Goal Diff
L
L
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.8%
7.26
1-1
13.1%
7.66
0-0
10.7%
9.33
0-1
10.2%
9.85
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.26
NO
56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Al-Karma
45% · 2.24
Draw
35% · 2.86
Gharraf
20% · 4.89
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.59
Under 61% · 1.63
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53
Under 35% · 2.89
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.35
Under 81% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Al-Karma
L
L
W
D
D
Gharraf
L
L
W
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Al-Karma
Stat
Gharraf
1.29
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.95
#5
League Pos.
#10
38 pts
Points
29 pts
1.81
Points / Game
1.38
+13
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
0 W
Al-Karma
Draw
Gharraf
1
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
|
21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +18 | 49 |
| 2 |
Al Shorta
|
20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | +21 | 44 |
| 3 |
Erbil
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | +12 | 41 |
| 4 |
Al Talaba
|
21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | +12 | 40 |
| 5 |
Al-Karma
H
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | +13 | 38 |
| 6 |
Al Karkh
|
21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | +10 | 37 |
| 7 |
Zakho
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | +13 | 36 |
| 8 |
Al Zawra'a
|
20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | +9 | 35 |
| 9 |
Duhok
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | +4 | 30 |
| 10 |
Gharraf
A
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | +2 | 29 |
| 11 |
Diyala
|
20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | +4 | 28 |
| 12 |
Newroz
|
21 | 8 | 1 | 12 | -5 | 25 |
| 13 |
Naft
|
20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | +0 | 24 |
| 14 |
Al Minaa Basra
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 24 |
| 15 |
Mosul
|
20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -9 | 23 |
| 16 |
Al Kahrabaa
|
21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | -7 | 21 |
| 17 |
Naft Maysan
|
21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -13 | 19 |
| 18 |
Baghdad
|
20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -13 | 19 |
| 19 |
Al Najaf
|
21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | -25 | 8 |
| 20 |
Al-Qasim
|
21 | 0 | 2 | 19 | -43 | 2 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.