Stars League Stars League March 18, 2026
Al-Gharafa

Al-Gharafa

14
FT
Al Ahli Doha

Al Ahli Doha

We predicted

Al-Gharafa 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 18 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Al-Gharafa 4+
|
Actual 1–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Al-Gharafa
Rank#3
Played18
Points34
PPG1.89
Goal Diff4
L W L L L
Al Ahli Doha
11#Rank
18Played
16Points
0.89PPG
-15Goal Diff
D L L L L
Most Likely Scores
Al-Gharafa 4+
12.4%
1-1
8.8%
11.33
2-1
8.6%
11.56
Al Ahli Doha 4+
7.5%
Both Teams To Score
YES 69% · 1.45
NO 31% · 3.25
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Al-Gharafa 45% · 2.21
Draw 31% · 3.22
Al Ahli Doha 24% · 4.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.44 Under 30% · 3.29
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.14 Under 13% · 7.91
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08 Under 52% · 1.93

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa
L W L L L
Al Ahli Doha Al Ahli Doha
D L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Al-Gharafa
Stat
Al Ahli Doha
1.96
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.64
#3
League Pos.
#11
34 pts
Points
16 pts
1.89
Points / Game
0.89
+4
Goal Diff.
-15

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Al-Gharafa
Draw
Al Ahli Doha
19 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Al Sadd Al Sadd
19 12 2 5 +23 38
2
Al Shamal Al Shamal
18 10 4 4 +10 34
3
Al-Gharafa Al-Gharafa H
19 11 1 7 +1 34
4
Al-Rayyan SC Al-Rayyan SC
19 9 4 6 +7 31
5
Qatar SC Qatar SC
18 8 4 6 +3 28
6
Al-Arabi SC Al-Arabi SC
18 8 4 6 -1 28
7
Al-Duhail SC Al-Duhail SC
19 7 6 6 +12 27
8
Al Wakrah Al Wakrah
19 6 5 8 -3 23
9
UMM Salal UMM Salal
19 6 2 11 -13 20
10
Al Ahli Doha Al Ahli Doha A
19 6 1 12 -12 19
11
Al-Sailiya Al-Sailiya
18 5 3 10 -10 18
12
Al Shahaniya Al Shahaniya
19 5 2 12 -17 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record