Eredivisie
May 10, 2026
Ajax
14:45
VS
Utrecht
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 10 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Ajax
Rank#5
Played26
Points44
PPG1.69
Goal Diff14
L
D
D
W
D
Utrecht
9#Rank
26Played
35Points
1.35PPG
7Goal Diff
D
W
D
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.1%
7.62
1-1
12.3%
8.15
2-0
9.9%
10.12
2-1
9.2%
10.82
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.12
NO
53% · 1.9
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ajax
34% · 2.92
Draw
34% · 2.97
Utrecht
32% · 3.12
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27
Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43
Under 30% · 3.33
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.36
Under 77% · 1.3
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Ajax
L
D
D
W
D
Utrecht
D
W
D
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Ajax
Stat
Utrecht
1.51
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.94
#5
League Pos.
#9
44 pts
Points
35 pts
1.69
Points / Game
1.35
+14
Goal Diff.
+7
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Ajax
Draw
Utrecht
20
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 68 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +22 | 50 |
| 4 |
Ajax
H
|
28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
A
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +11 | 41 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | +3 | 38 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
Telstar
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.