Eredivisie
February 14, 2026
Ajax
4–1
FT
Fortuna Sittard
We predicted
Ajax 4+
30% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Ajax 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Ajax 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
30%
Team Context
Ajax
Rank#4
Played22
Points39
PPG1.77
Goal Diff13
D
D
W
D
W
Fortuna Sittard
11#Rank
22Played
26Points
1.18PPG
-5Goal Diff
D
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
Ajax 4+
13.6%
1-0
10.9%
9.18
2-0
10.8%
9.23
1-1
10.0%
9.97
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.93
NO
48% · 2.08
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Ajax
62% · 1.61
Draw
21% · 4.73
Fortuna Sittard
17% · 5.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.8
Under 45% · 2.24
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27
Under 21% · 4.67
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.04
Under 67% · 1.49
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Ajax
D
D
W
D
W
Fortuna Sittard
D
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Ajax
Stat
Fortuna Sittard
1.99
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#4
League Pos.
#11
39 pts
Points
26 pts
1.77
Points / Game
1.18
+13
Goal Diff.
-5
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
1 D
0 W
Ajax
Draw
Fortuna Sittard
20
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
29 | 23 | 2 | 4 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
29 | 16 | 6 | 7 | +21 | 54 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +24 | 53 |
| 4 |
Twente
|
29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +18 | 50 |
| 5 |
Ajax
H
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +17 | 48 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Heerenveen
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 |
Utrecht
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | +5 | 41 |
| 11 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | +5 | 35 |
| 12 |
Fortuna Sittard
A
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 35 |
| 13 |
PEC Zwolle
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -20 | 33 |
| 14 |
FC Volendam
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 |
| 15 |
Telstar
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -10 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | -21 | 24 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
29 | 5 | 4 | 20 | -40 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.