Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
April 5, 2026
Águilas
16:30
VS
Xerez Deportivo
Predicted score
1-0
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Águilas
Rank#5
Played29
Points49
PPG1.69
Goal Diff13
L
L
L
W
L
Xerez Deportivo
13#Rank
29Played
34Points
1.17PPG
-4Goal Diff
L
W
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.1%
6.63
2-0
11.9%
8.44
1-1
11.7%
8.58
0-0
9.6%
10.43
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.34
NO
57% · 1.74
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Águilas
52% · 1.93
Draw
33% · 3.01
Xerez Deportivo
15% · 6.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.41
Under 58% · 1.71
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47
Under 32% · 3.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.79
Under 79% · 1.26
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Águilas
L
L
L
W
L
Xerez Deportivo
L
W
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Águilas
Stat
Xerez Deportivo
1.57
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.77
#5
League Pos.
#13
49 pts
Points
34 pts
1.69
Points / Game
1.17
+13
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
0 W
Águilas
Draw
Xerez Deportivo
3
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Extremadura 1924
|
30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | +12 | 53 |
| 2 |
Ucam Murcia
|
29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 52 |
| 3 |
Xerez
|
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | +7 | 51 |
| 4 |
Recreativo Huelva
|
30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | +17 | 51 |
| 5 |
Deportiva Minera
|
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | +12 | 50 |
| 6 |
Águilas
H
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +13 | 49 |
| 7 |
Real Jaén
|
30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +7 | 48 |
| 8 |
Lorca Deportiva
|
29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | +0 | 43 |
| 9 |
Linares Deportivo
|
30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | -3 | 43 |
| 10 |
Yeclano
|
30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | +0 | 40 |
| 11 |
La Unión Atlético
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | +0 | 39 |
| 12 |
Antoniano
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 |
Xerez Deportivo
A
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 |
Estepona
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -7 | 33 |
| 15 |
Puente Genil
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 33 |
| 16 |
Melilla
|
29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | +0 | 32 |
| 17 |
Almería II
|
29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | -23 | 19 |
| 18 |
Málaga II
|
30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | -30 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.