Eerste Divisie
April 3, 2026
ADO Den Haag
4–2
FT
Jong Ajax
We predicted
ADO Den Haag 4+
47% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 3 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
ADO Den Haag 4+
|
Actual
4–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — ADO Den Haag 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
47%
Team Context
ADO Den Haag
Rank#1
Played33
Points77
PPG2.33
Goal Diff42
W
W
W
L
W
Jong Ajax
19#Rank
33Played
32Points
0.97PPG
-14Goal Diff
L
W
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
ADO Den Haag 4+
18.2%
2-0
12.9%
7.75
1-0
11.5%
8.7
3-0
9.7%
10.34
Both Teams To Score
YES
46% · 2.15
NO
54% · 1.87
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
ADO Den Haag
61% · 1.64
Draw
29% · 3.49
Jong Ajax
10% · 9.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76
Under 43% · 2.32
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.26
Under 20% · 4.91
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.91
Under 66% · 1.52
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
ADO Den Haag
W
W
W
L
W
Jong Ajax
L
W
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
ADO Den Haag
Stat
Jong Ajax
2.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.73
#1
League Pos.
#19
77 pts
Points
32 pts
2.33
Points / Game
0.97
+42
Goal Diff.
-14
Head to Head
Full H2H record4 W
1 D
0 W
ADO Den Haag
Draw
Jong Ajax
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
ADO Den Haag
H
|
34 | 26 | 2 | 6 | +44 | 80 |
| 2 |
Cambuur
|
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +28 | 73 |
| 3 |
Willem II
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | +11 | 56 |
| 4 |
De Graafschap
|
34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 56 |
| 5 |
Almere City FC
|
34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | +16 | 55 |
| 6 |
Waalwijk
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | +8 | 51 |
| 7 |
Roda
|
34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | +6 | 51 |
| 8 |
Jong PSV U21
|
34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | +3 | 50 |
| 9 |
Den Bosch
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 |
FC Eindhoven
|
34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | -10 | 44 |
| 11 |
Dordrecht
|
34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 |
VVV Venlo
|
34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 |
Jong Utrecht
|
33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 39 |
| 14 |
Emmen
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |
Vitesse
|
34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | +2 | 37 |
| 16 |
Jong AZ
|
34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | -7 | 37 |
| 17 |
MVV
|
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -29 | 36 |
| 18 |
Helmond Sport
|
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | -21 | 34 |
| 19 |
Jong Ajax
A
|
34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -16 | 32 |
| 20 |
FC OSS
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -17 | 32 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.