Liga Nacional Liga Nacional March 15, 2026
Achuapa

Achuapa

12
FT
Marquense

Marquense

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Achuapa
Rank#7
Played22
Points25
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-7
L L L D D
Marquense
10#Rank
22Played
23Points
1.05PPG
-18Goal Diff
W D L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.2%
6.6
2-0
13.2%
7.58
1-1
10.7%
9.39
Achuapa 4+
9.7%
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.4
NO 58% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Achuapa 41% · 2.42
Draw 32% · 3.14
Marquense 27% · 3.73
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.27 Under 56% · 1.79
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.43 Under 30% · 3.34
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.37 Under 77% · 1.3

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Achuapa Achuapa
L L L D D
Marquense Marquense
W D L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Achuapa
Stat
Marquense
1.74
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.7
#7
League Pos.
#10
25 pts
Points
23 pts
1.14
Points / Game
1.05
-7
Goal Diff.
-18

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
2 D
2 W
Achuapa
Draw
Marquense
5 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Municipal Municipal
22 14 6 2 +27 48
2
Mixco Mixco
22 14 2 6 +13 44
3
Antigua GFC Antigua GFC
22 13 3 6 +16 42
4
Aurora Aurora
22 11 6 5 +3 39
5
Malacateco Malacateco
22 10 1 11 -5 31
6
Xelajú Xelajú
22 8 4 10 +3 28
7
Achuapa Achuapa H
22 6 7 9 -7 25
8
Mictlán Mictlán
22 6 6 10 -2 24
9
Cobán Imperial Cobán Imperial
22 6 5 11 -5 23
10
Marquense Marquense A
22 6 5 11 -18 23
11
Guastatoya Guastatoya
22 6 4 12 -14 22
12
Comunicaciones Comunicaciones
22 5 5 12 -11 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record