Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 March 28, 2026
A Madrid III

A Madrid III

23
FT
Galapagar

Galapagar

We predicted

A Madrid III 4+ 41% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted A Madrid III 4+
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
A Madrid III
Rank#1
Played27
Points53
PPG1.96
Goal Diff30
D W W D D
Galapagar
11#Rank
27Played
36Points
1.33PPG
-7Goal Diff
L D W D D
Most Likely Scores
A Madrid III 4+
13.7%
2-1
10.0%
10.05
1-1
9.9%
10.08
2-0
9.0%
11.17
Both Teams To Score
YES 58% · 1.72
NO 42% · 2.38
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
A Madrid III 53% · 1.9
Draw 31% · 3.24
Galapagar 16% · 6.11
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.46
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.66 Under 62% · 1.6

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

A Madrid III A Madrid III
D W W D D
Galapagar Galapagar
L D W D D

Key Stats Comparison

A Madrid III
Stat
Galapagar
2.01
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.11
#1
League Pos.
#11
53 pts
Points
36 pts
1.96
Points / Game
1.33
+30
Goal Diff.
-7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
A Madrid III
Draw
Galapagar
14 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
A Madrid III A Madrid III H
29 15 9 5 +29 54
2
Las Rozas Las Rozas
29 15 8 6 +18 53
3
Leganés II Leganés II
29 14 8 7 +32 50
4
Móstoles Móstoles
28 14 7 7 +12 49
5
Trival Valderas Trival Valderas
28 14 4 10 +8 46
6
Torrejón Torrejón
28 13 7 8 +7 46
7
Unión Adarve Unión Adarve
29 11 8 10 -3 41
8
Alcobendas Sport Alcobendas Sport
29 11 6 12 -3 39
9
Villaverde-Boetticher Villaverde-Boetticher
29 9 12 8 -4 39
10
Galapagar Galapagar A
29 9 12 8 -8 39
11
SS Reyes II SS Reyes II
28 9 11 8 +5 38
12
Pozuelo Alarcón Pozuelo Alarcón
29 9 11 9 +1 38
13
Alcorcón II Alcorcón II
29 9 9 11 -2 36
14
Tres Cantos Tres Cantos
29 9 3 17 -20 30
15
Villanueva Pardillo Villanueva Pardillo
29 8 5 16 -14 29
16
Carabanchel Carabanchel
28 6 10 12 -6 28
17
AD Parla AD Parla
28 7 5 16 -24 26
18
Racing Madrid Racing Madrid
29 5 7 17 -28 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record