Primera División - Apertura
07/02/2026 • 00:30
Finished
Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera (Montevideo)
Esteban Ostojich, Uruguay
Home scorers
- 42' L. Cosentino
Away scorers
- 3' F. Castro
- 69' B. Montenegro (B. Montenegro)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
31%
Team Context
Wanderers
Rank#3
Played7
Points12
PPG1.71
Goal Diff1
W
L
D
D
D
Defensor Sporting
2#Rank
7Played
14Points
2.0PPG
2Goal Diff
D
W
D
W
L
Most Likely Scores
0-0
20.1%
4.98
0-1
17.2%
5.8
1-0
15.0%
6.67
1-1
12.9%
7.76
Both Teams To Score
YES
30% · 3.3
NO
70% · 1.43
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Wanderers
29% · 3.42
Draw
35% · 2.84
Defensor Sporting
36% · 2.81
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.59
Under 78% · 1.28
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.1
Under 52% · 1.91
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
92%
Over 8% · 12.58
Under 92% · 1.09
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.