Challenge Cup
17/02/2026 • 19:45
Live
McDiarmid Park (Perth)
Home scorers
- 30' J. McPake
- 89' L. Smith
- 90' J. Gullan
- 120' J. Gullan
- 120' S. Mallan
- 120' M. Boyes
- 120' K. Fotheringham
- 120' T. Steven
- 120' M. Foulds
Away scorers
- 15' G. Oakley
- 29' G. Oakley
- 47' K. Holt
- 120' B. Dempsey
- 120' S. Bannigan
- 120' M. McKenzie
- 120' E. Walker
- 120' K. Holt
- 120' S. McMann
Match Timeline
27 events
Key Moments
-
15'Ayr UtdGoalG. Oakley
-
29'Ayr UtdGoalG. Oakley
-
30'ST JohnstoneGoalJ. McPake
-
47'Ayr UtdGoalK. Holt
-
89'ST JohnstoneGoalL. Smith
-
90'ST JohnstoneGoalJ. Gullan
-
120'ST JohnstoneGoalJ. Gullan
-
120'Ayr UtdGoalB. Dempsey
-
120'ST JohnstoneGoalS. Mallan
-
120'Ayr UtdGoalS. Bannigan
-
120'ST JohnstoneGoalM. Boyes
-
120'Ayr UtdGoalM. McKenzie
-
120'ST JohnstoneGoalK. Fotheringham
-
120'Ayr UtdGoalE. Walker
-
120'ST JohnstoneGoalT. Steven
-
120'Ayr UtdGoalK. Holt
-
120'Ayr UtdGoalS. McMann
-
120'ST JohnstoneGoalM. Foulds
Full timeline Show Hide
15'
Ayr Utd
Goal
by G. Oakley
29'
Ayr Utd
Goal
by G. Oakley
30'
ST Johnstone
Goal
by J. McPake
46'
ST Johnstone
Substitution
by J. McPake
46'
Ayr Utd
Substitution
by G. Finney
46'
ST Johnstone
Substitution
by J. Holt
46'
ST Johnstone
Substitution
by R. Paton
47'
Ayr Utd
Goal
by K. Holt
63'
ST Johnstone
Substitution
by S. Stanton
72'
ST Johnstone
Substitution
by A. Agyeman
75'
Ayr Utd
Substitution
by G. Oakley
80'
Ayr Utd
Substitution
by A. Dowds
89'
ST Johnstone
Goal
by L. Smith
90'
Ayr Utd
Yellow Card
by E. Walker
90'
ST Johnstone
Goal
by J. Gullan
120'
ST Johnstone
Goal
by J. Gullan
120'
Ayr Utd
Goal
by B. Dempsey
120'
ST Johnstone
Goal
by S. Mallan
120'
Ayr Utd
Goal
by S. Bannigan
120'
ST Johnstone
Goal
by M. Boyes
120'
Ayr Utd
Goal
by M. McKenzie
120'
ST Johnstone
Goal
by K. Fotheringham
120'
Ayr Utd
Goal
by E. Walker
120'
ST Johnstone
Goal
by T. Steven
120'
Ayr Utd
Goal
by K. Holt
120'
Ayr Utd
Goal
by S. McMann
120'
ST Johnstone
Goal
by M. Foulds
Head to Head Record
3
ST Johnstone wins
2
Draws
1
Ayr Utd wins
6 matches
19 total goals
Recent H2H Form
ST Johnstone
D
W
D
L
W
Ayr Utd
D
L
D
W
L
Recent H2H Meetings
🏆
Competition Stage
Quarter Finals
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
63%
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
3% · 30.4
NO
97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
ST Johnstone
15% · 6.61
Draw
70% · 1.43
Ayr Utd
15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0
Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23
Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0
Under 100% · 1.0
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.