USL Championship
22/03/2026 • 02:00
Finished
Heart Health Park
R. Albuquerque
Home scorers
- 62' F. Ajago (A. Rodriguez)
Away scorers
- 84' W. Leggett (R. Bidois)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Sacramento Republic
Rank#2
Played30
Points48
PPG1.6
Goal Diff17
L
L
W
D
L
Monterey Bay
11#Rank
30Played
29Points
0.97PPG
-18Goal Diff
D
L
L
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.2%
6.59
1-1
12.0%
8.3
2-0
11.3%
8.83
0-0
10.2%
9.84
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.35
NO
58% · 1.74
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sacramento Republic
50% · 1.99
Draw
34% · 2.96
Monterey Bay
16% · 6.26
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.5
Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5
Under 33% · 2.99
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.07
Under 80% · 1.25
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.