Primera División RFEF - Group 1
29/03/2026 • 10:00
Finished
Estadio de O Couto (Ourense)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Ourense CF
Rank#15
Played29
Points33
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-2
D
D
L
W
L
Ponferradina
6#Rank
29Played
43Points
1.48PPG
7Goal Diff
W
D
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.9%
7.19
1-1
13.3%
7.52
0-0
11.6%
8.62
0-1
11.1%
9.02
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.33
NO
57% · 1.75
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ourense CF
29% · 3.46
Draw
36% · 2.81
Ponferradina
36% · 2.81
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.74
Under 64% · 1.57
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58
Under 37% · 2.73
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.83
Under 83% · 1.21
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.