Primera A
03/04/2026 • 01:30
Finished
Estadio Palogrande (Manizales)
J. Ospina
Home scorers
- 81' M. Zuleta (J. D. Cuesta Santos)
Away scorers
- 84' B. Perlaza (D. Catano)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Once Caldas
Rank#11
Played20
Points27
PPG1.35
Goal Diff-3
D
W
D
W
L
Independiente Medellin
1#Rank
20Played
40Points
2.0PPG
18Goal Diff
W
L
D
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.6
1-0
12.5%
8.02
0-1
10.5%
9.53
0-0
10.0%
10.05
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.15
NO
53% · 1.87
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Once Caldas
28% · 3.51
Draw
35% · 2.87
Independiente Medellin
37% · 2.73
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.46
Under 59% · 1.68
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.49
Under 33% · 3.04
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.95
Under 80% · 1.25
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.