Challenge League
15/03/2026 • 13:00
Finished
Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)
Home scorers
- 43' M. Fenech
Away scorers
- 76' S. Carabott
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
33%
Team Context
Mgarr United
Rank#9
Played15
Points22
PPG1.47
Goal Diff4
D
L
D
W
W
Vittoriosa Stars
13#Rank
15Played
12Points
0.8PPG
-7Goal Diff
L
D
D
D
L
Most Likely Scores
Mgarr United 4+
10.5%
1-1
10.0%
10.04
2-1
9.1%
11.01
1-2
7.4%
13.59
Both Teams To Score
YES
65% · 1.55
NO
35% · 2.83
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Mgarr United
41% · 2.41
Draw
28% · 3.62
Vittoriosa Stars
31% · 3.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56
Under 36% · 2.77
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19
Under 16% · 6.29
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.39
Under 58% · 1.72
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.