Primera División RFEF - Group 1
13/03/2026 • 18:00
Finished
Estadio Romano Jose Fouto (Mérida)
M. Antequera
Home scorers
- 76' S. El Ftouhi
Away scorers
- 38' U. Alvarez
- 62' U. Alvarez
- 90' J. Casado
- 90' D. Amigo
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Mérida AD
Rank#6
Played27
Points40
PPG1.48
Goal Diff2
D
D
W
L
W
Guadalajara
18#Rank
27Played
28Points
1.04PPG
-14Goal Diff
W
D
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.1%
8.26
1-1
11.2%
8.96
2-0
10.6%
9.43
Mérida AD 4+
9.8%
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.01
NO
50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Mérida AD
52% · 1.92
Draw
32% · 3.12
Guadalajara
16% · 6.33
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 2.0
Under 50% · 2.0
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34
Under 25% · 3.94
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.59
Under 72% · 1.39
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.