Bundesliga
22/03/2026 • 16:30
Finished
Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
Florian Badstubner, Germany
Home scorers
- 24' D. Sinani (T. Ando)
Away scorers
- 65' I. Matanovic
- 78' I. Matanovic
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
FC St. Pauli
Rank#16
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-17
D
W
W
L
W
SC Freiburg
8#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
-5Goal Diff
D
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
15.4%
6.48
0-1
14.8%
6.76
1-0
14.1%
7.12
1-1
13.5%
7.43
Both Teams To Score
YES
37% · 2.72
NO
63% · 1.58
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
FC St. Pauli
34% · 2.98
Draw
33% · 3.0
SC Freiburg
33% · 3.02
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.48
Under 71% · 1.4
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.8
Under 44% · 2.26
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.35
Under 88% · 1.14
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.