Serie A
16/03/2026 • 23:00
Finished
Arena Condá (Chapecó)
B. Vasconcelos
Home scorers
- 28' W. Clar
Away scorers
- 45' J. Nardoni
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
57%
Team Context
Chapecoense-sc
Rank#
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Gremio
9#Rank
38Played
49Points
1.29PPG
-3Goal Diff
W
L
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
Chapecoense-sc 4+
41.3%
3-1
8.5%
11.75
3-0
8.4%
11.95
2-1
7.4%
13.53
Both Teams To Score
YES
62% · 1.62
NO
38% · 2.61
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Chapecoense-sc
53% · 1.89
Draw
25% · 4.06
Gremio
23% · 4.44
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23
Under 19% · 5.32
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
93%
Over 93% · 1.07
Under 7% · 15.04
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59
Under 37% · 2.71
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.