Premier League
13/03/2026 • 19:45
Finished
The Oval (Caernarfon)
M. Petch
Home scorers
- 13' P. Mooney
- 90'
Away scorers
- 1' H. Franklin
- 36' R. Hughes
- 67' N. Edwards
- 70' H. Franklin
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
34%
Team Context
Caernarfon Town
Rank#4
Played27
Points39
PPG1.44
Goal Diff12
W
L
L
D
D
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2#Rank
27Played
50Points
1.85PPG
21Goal Diff
L
L
D
D
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
8.89
2-1
8.5%
11.76
1-2
8.3%
12.0
1-0
7.6%
13.18
Both Teams To Score
YES
60% · 1.66
NO
40% · 2.51
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Caernarfon Town
41% · 2.43
Draw
33% · 3.07
GAP Connah S Quay FC
26% · 3.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.74
Under 43% · 2.35
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25
Under 20% · 4.99
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.86
Under 65% · 1.54
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.