Primera A
01/04/2026 • 21:10
Finished
Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar)
Alejandro Moncada Sanchez, Colombia
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Alianza Valledupar
Rank#9
Played20
Points29
PPG1.45
Goal Diff2
L
W
W
W
L
Deportivo Pasto
17#Rank
20Played
19Points
0.95PPG
-2Goal Diff
W
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.0%
7.7
1-1
11.9%
8.42
2-0
10.4%
9.66
2-1
9.5%
10.56
Both Teams To Score
YES
48% · 2.09
NO
52% · 1.91
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Alianza Valledupar
36% · 2.78
Draw
33% · 3.02
Deportivo Pasto
31% · 3.23
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19
Under 54% · 1.84
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4
Under 29% · 3.5
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.11
Under 76% · 1.32
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.