La Liga
13/03/2026 • 20:00
Finished
Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez, Spain
Home scorers
- 40' R. Marin
Away scorers
- 90' N. Pepe (S. Comesana)
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Alaves
Rank#16
Played27
Points27
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-12
L
L
D
D
L
Villarreal
4#Rank
27Played
54Points
2.0PPG
18Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.4%
8.77
2-1
8.8%
11.42
1-0
8.1%
12.36
1-2
8.0%
12.44
Both Teams To Score
YES
59% · 1.69
NO
41% · 2.46
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Alaves
28% · 3.53
Draw
33% · 3.06
Villarreal
39% · 2.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.77
Under 44% · 2.29
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26
Under 21% · 4.81
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.95
Under 66% · 1.51
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.