National League - North National League - North March 10, 2026
Merthyr Town

Merthyr Town

12
FT
Chester

Chester

We predicted

home_4_plus 41% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 10 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted home_4_plus
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Merthyr Town
Rank#3
Played37
Points66
PPG1.78
Goal Diff19
W L W L W
Chester
10#Rank
37Played
53Points
1.43PPG
-4Goal Diff
W W L W W
Most Likely Scores
2-1
9.4%
10.68
1-1
8.7%
11.45
3-1
6.7%
14.97
2-0
6.7%
15.02
Both Teams To Score
YES 67% · 1.5
NO 33% · 2.99
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Merthyr Town 51% · 1.98
Draw 31% · 3.28
Chester 19% · 5.27
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.46 Under 31% · 3.18
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15 Under 13% · 7.58
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13 Under 53% · 1.89

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Merthyr Town Merthyr Town
W L W L W
Chester Chester
W W L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Merthyr Town
Stat
Chester
2.14
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.4
#3
League Pos.
#10
66 pts
Points
53 pts
1.78
Points / Game
1.43
+19
Goal Diff.
-4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
1 D
1 W
Merthyr Town
Draw
Chester
7 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record