Match Statistics
16 stats
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5 Blocked Shots 1
-
8 Shots insidebox 3
-
5 Shots off Goal 3
-
8 Shots on Goal 1
-
10 Shots outsidebox 2
-
18 Total Shots 5
-
2 Corner Kicks 2
-
1 Offsides 0
-
12 Fouls 8
-
2 Yellow Cards 2
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46 Possession % 54
-
78 Pass Accuracy % 84
-
274 Passes accurate 344
-
351 Total passes 408
-
1.56 Expected Goals (xG) 0.65
-
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
Match Timeline
16 events
Key Moments
-
5'WatfordGoalL. Kjerrumgaard
-
90'WatfordGoalM. Doumbia
Full timeline Show Hide
5'
Watford
Goal
by L. Kjerrumgaard
23'
Derby
Yellow Card
by M. Clarke
23'
Watford
Substitution
by O. Maamma
52'
Watford
Yellow Card
by G. Chakvetadze
55'
Derby
Yellow Card
by C. Elder
62'
Derby
Substitution
by D. Ozoh
62'
Derby
Substitution
by R. Brewster
62'
Derby
Substitution
by C. Elder
68'
Watford
Substitution
by N. Irankunda
68'
Watford
Substitution
by L. Kjerrumgaard
78'
Derby
Substitution
by B. Brereton Diaz
83'
Watford
Yellow Card
by M. Doumbia
85'
Watford
Substitution
by K. Baah
86'
Watford
Substitution
by S. Goglichidze
90'
Watford
Goal
by M. Doumbia
90'
Derby
Substitution
by L. Travis
Team Lineups
Formations
Watford
4-2-3-1
👤
Coach:
Edward Still
1
1
Selvik
2
2
Ngakia
25
25
Abankwah
3
3
Goglichidze
21
21
Mfuni
10
10
Louza
23
23
Mendy
66
66
Irankunda
39
39
Kayembe
42
42
Maamma
9
9
Kjerrumgaard
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
Goalkeeper
- 1Egil Selvik
Defence
- 2Jeremy Ngakia
- 25James Abankwah
- 3Saba Goglichidze
- 21Stephen Mfuni
Midfield
- 10Imrân Louza
- 23Nampalys Mendy
- 66Nestory Irankunda
- 39Edo Kayembe
- 42Othmane Maamma
Attack
- 9Luca Kjerrumgaard
Substitutes
Goalkeeper
- 12Nathan Baxter
Defence
- 16Marc Bola
- 6Matthew Pollock
Midfield
- 8Giorgi Chakvetadze
- 7Thomas Ince
- 17Pierre Ekwah
- 15Edoardo Bove
Attack
- 34Kwadwo Baah
- 20Mamadou Doumbia
Derby
4-2-3-1
John Eustace
:Coach
👤
31
31
Vickers
23
23
Ward
28
28
Sanderson
5
5
Clarke
20
20
Elder
18
18
Ozoh
27
27
Travis
25
25
Díaz
19
19
Szmodics
10
10
Brewster
7
7
Agyemang
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
Goalkeeper
- Josh Vickers31
Defence
- Joe Ward23
- Dion Sanderson28
- Matthew Clarke5
- Callum Elder20
Midfield
- David Ozoh18
- Lewis Travis27
- Ben Brereton Díaz25
- Sammie Szmodics19
- Rhian Brewster10
Attack
- Patrick Agyemang7
Substitutes
Goalkeeper
- Richard O'Donnell12
Defence
- Derry Murkin2
- Isaac Gordon44
- Craig Forsyth3
Midfield
- Cruz Allen54
- Owen Eames37
- Oscar Fraulo29
- Bobby Clark42
Attack
- Carlton Morris9
Head to Head Record
6
Watford wins
1
Draws
3
Derby wins
10 matches
34 total goals
Recent H2H Form
Watford
W
W
W
W
W
Derby
L
L
L
L
L
Recent H2H Meetings
📅
Competition Stage
Regular Season - 33
Standings
1
Coventry
62
Coventry
2
Middlesbrough
61
Middlesbrough
3
Millwall
56
Millwall
4
Ipswich
54
Ipswich
5
Hull City
54
Hull City
6
Derby
48
Derby
7
Wrexham
48
Wrexham
8
Preston
48
Preston
9
Bristol City
47
Bristol City
10
Southampton
46
Southampton
11
Birmingham
46
Birmingham
12
Watford
45
Watford
13
QPR
44
QPR
14
Stoke City
43
Stoke City
15
Sheffield Utd
42
Sheffield Utd
16
Swansea
42
Swansea
17
Norwich
39
Norwich
18
Charlton
39
Charlton
19
Blackburn
38
Blackburn
20
Portsmouth
36
Portsmouth
21
West Brom
34
West Brom
22
Leicester
32
Leicester
23
Oxford United
28
Oxford United
24
Sheffield Wednesday
-7
Sheffield Wednesday
1
Coventry
62
Coventry
L
L
W
2
Middlesbrough
61
Middlesbrough
W
W
W
3
Millwall
56
Millwall
D
W
L
4
Ipswich
54
Ipswich
L
W
W
5
Hull City
54
Hull City
W
W
W
6
Derby
48
Derby
W
D
W
7
Wrexham
48
Wrexham
W
W
D
8
Preston
48
Preston
W
D
L
9
Bristol City
47
Bristol City
L
W
L
10
Southampton
46
Southampton
W
D
W
11
Birmingham
46
Birmingham
W
D
W
12
Watford
45
Watford
D
L
D
13
QPR
44
QPR
W
L
D
14
Stoke City
43
Stoke City
L
D
L
15
Sheffield Utd
42
Sheffield Utd
W
D
W
16
Swansea
42
Swansea
W
L
W
17
Norwich
39
Norwich
L
W
W
18
Charlton
39
Charlton
D
W
L
19
Blackburn
38
Blackburn
L
W
L
20
Portsmouth
36
Portsmouth
L
W
D
21
West Brom
34
West Brom
L
D
L
22
Leicester
32
Leicester
L
L
D
23
Oxford United
28
Oxford United
L
L
W
24
Sheffield Wednesday
-7
Sheffield Wednesday
L
L
L
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
Watford
Rank#12
Played32
Points45
PPG1.41
Goal Diff3
D
L
D
L
D
Derby
6#Rank
32Played
48Points
1.5PPG
8Goal Diff
W
L
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
14.7%
6.79
1-1
13.2%
7.57
0-0
12.2%
8.18
1-0
11.0%
9.12
Both Teams To Score
YES
41% · 2.41
NO
59% · 1.71
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Watford
27% · 3.65
Draw
29% · 3.39
Derby
43% · 2.32
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.85
Under 65% · 1.54
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61
Under 38% · 2.64
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.19
Under 84% · 1.19
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.